Artificial Neural Network Based Approach for short load forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
Accurate models for electric power load forecasting are essential to the operation and planning of a power utility company. Load forecasting helps electric utility to make important decisions on trading of power, load switching, and infrastructure development. Load forecasts are extremely important for power utilizes ISOs, financial institutions, and other stakeholder of power sector. Short term load forecasting is a essential part of electric power system planning and operation forecasting made for unit commitment and security assessment, which have a direct impact on operational casts and system security. Conventional ANN based load forecasting method deal with 24 hour ahead load forecasting by using forecasted temp. This can lead to high forecasting errors in case of rapid temperature changes. This paper present a neural network based approach for short term load forecasting considering data for training, validation and testing of neural network.
منابع مشابه
Efficient Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Using Recurrent Neural Networks
Short term load forecasting (STLF) plays an important role in the economic and reliable operation ofpower systems. Electric load demand has a complex profile with many multivariable and nonlineardependencies. In this study, recurrent neural network (RNN) architecture is presented for STLF. Theproposed model is capable of forecasting next 24-hour load profile. The main feature in this networkis ...
متن کاملShort-term and Medium-term Gas Demand Load Forecasting by Neural Networks
The ability of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for estimating the natural gas demand load for the next day and month of the populated cities has shown to be a real concern. As the most applicable network, the ANN with multi-layer back propagation perceptrons is used to approximate functions. Throughout the current work, the daily effective temperature is determined, and then the weather data w...
متن کاملShort Term Load Forecasting by Using ESN Neural Network Hamedan Province Case Study
Abstract Forecasting electrical energy demand and consumption is one of the important decision-making tools in distributing companies for making contracts scheduling and purchasing electrical energy. This paper studies load consumption modeling in Hamedan city province distribution network by applying ESN neural network. Weather forecasting data such as minimum day temperature, average day temp...
متن کاملShort term electric load prediction based on deep neural network and wavelet transform and input selection
Electricity demand forecasting is one of the most important factors in the planning, design, and operation of competitive electrical systems. However, most of the load forecasting methods are not accurate. Therefore, in order to increase the accuracy of the short-term electrical load forecast, this paper proposes a hybrid method for predicting electric load based on a deep neural network with a...
متن کاملNeural Networks in Electric Load Forecasting:A Comprehensive Survey
Review and classification of electric load forecasting (LF) techniques based on artificial neuralnetworks (ANN) is presented. A basic ANNs architectures used in LF reviewed. A wide range of ANNoriented applications for forecasting are given in the literature. These are classified into five groups:(1) ANNs in short-term LF, (2) ANNs in mid-term LF, (3) ANNs in long-term LF, (4) Hybrid ANNs inLF,...
متن کاملTown trip forecasting based on data mining techniques
In this paper, a data mining approach is proposed for duration prediction of the town trips (travel time) in New York City. In this regard, at first, two novel approaches, including a mathematical and a statistical approach, are proposed for grouping categorical variables with a huge number of levels. The proposed approaches work based on the cost matrix generated by repetitive post-hoc tests f...
متن کامل